Prisco’s Week 12 NFL picks: Tom Brady, Bucs win third in a row; Titans get revenge on Bengals – CBS Sports

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It finally happened. I had a good week in all three areas of picking games. 

I went 4-2 with my best bets as part of the Pick Six podcast, 11-3 straight up and 7-5-2 against the spread in my CBSSports.com expert picks. 

That raises my best bet record to 38-25-2, which I am glad about. The straight-up record is now 95-69 and the ATS record is 74-82-8. The last one needs to get back up over .500, so that’s the goal for the next few weeks.

Let’s hope the holiday week is good to me, starting with a sweep on Thanksgiving in games that feature teams with some impressive records.

Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

Featured Game | Detroit Lions vs. Buffalo Bills

This has the makings of a game with a lot of offense. Both teams can score, but the Bills can really score. They will put up a big number here as Josh Allen wins a second straight game in Detroit after beating the Browns last week in the same building. The track is fast and the Bills can fly. The Lions won’t keep up. 

Pick: Bills 40, Lions 23

Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

Featured Game | Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants

The Giants are coming off of a horrible showing at home against the Lions, which means they might have been looking ahead to this one. The Cowboys righted things in their blowout victory over the Vikings. The defense dominated, and it will dominate here as well. The Giants are too limited on offense. 

Pick: Cowboys 31, Giants 14

Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, FuboTV)

The Vikings were embarrassed Sunday at home, getting blown out by the Cowboys. They will bounce back and play better here. The New England offense is struggling, but the defense is playing well. Even so, I think the Vikings will respond on offense in this one to win it. The Patriots offense is bad. 

Pick: Vikings 24, Patriots 14

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

Featured Game | Carolina Panthers vs. Denver Broncos

This is the dog game of the week with two horrible offenses. First one to 10 wins? Denver has the better defense, but at home I think the Panthers will find a way to win this one. Denver continues to struggle. 

Pick: Panthers 17, Broncos 13

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

Featured Game | Cleveland Browns vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Bucs come off the bye in first place and seemingly ready to get their season going like they expected. They are getting healthier, and that will matter down the stretch, starting here in this one. The Browns are bad on defense, so look for Tom Brady to have a solid day. The Browns running game is limited. Bucs take it. 

Pick: Bucs 30, Browns 17

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

Featured Game | Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Jaguars come off their bye with a tough home game against the Ravens. The Baltimore defense has come alive in recent weeks and will present a real challenge for Trevor Lawrence. Lamar Jackson and the offense have to pick it up. This will be low scoring, but it’s close.

Pick: Ravens 21, Jaguars 20

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

Featured Game | Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans

The Dolphins come off their bye as big favorites. The Texans could be making a quarterback change, but it doesn’t matter. The Dolphins have been explosive on offense all year, and that won’t change in this one. Tua Tagovailoa keeps it rolling in a blowout. 

Pick: Dolphins 36, Texans 14

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

Featured Game | New York Jets vs. Chicago Bears

This won’t be pretty if Justin Fields can’t play. Both offenses would be severely limited. The Jets have the much better defense, one that is on the verge of becoming dominant. That is the difference, no matter who plays quarterback for these two. 

Pick: Jets 20, Bears 14

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

Featured Game | Tennessee Titans vs. Cincinnati Bengals

This is a rematch from the playoff game from last January in which the Bengals upset the Titans on the road. The Bengals have played much better lately, but they are playing consecutive road games, while the Titans will be rested after playing last Thursday. Derrick Henry wasn’t himself when they played in the playoffs last season. He is now. Titans take it behind his running.

Pick: Titans 27, Bengals 21

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

Featured Game | Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons

This is a playoff game of sorts. Both teams are sill alive. Washington has turned the season around thanks to its defense. Taylor Heinicke is also making timely plays. The Falcons are limited on offense, which is the difference. Washington stays hot. 

Pick: Commanders 27, Falcons 17

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

Featured Game | Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Chargers

The Cardinals looked awful in losing to the 49ers in Mexico and now play with their playoff hopes on the line. The Chargers are coming off a loss to the Chiefs, but they showed some life in that game on offense. That continues as Justin Herbert has a big day. 

Pick: Chargers 30, Cardinals 20

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

Featured Game | Los Angeles Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks are coming off a bye, while the Raiders are playing a second straight road game. Bad combination. The Raiders have major defensive issues, which will show up against a good Seattle offense. Geno Smith and the Seahawks take it. 

Pick: Seahawks 31, Raiders 24

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Rams

The Rams are a mess, while the Chiefs are riding high. The Rams have health issues and probably won’t have Matthew Stafford. That’s a problem. The Chiefs have Patrick Mahomes and he will carve up this Rams defense. Blowout city. 

Pick: Chiefs 37, Rams 13

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

Featured Game | San Francisco 49ers vs. New Orleans Saints

The 49ers are coming off an impressive victory over the Cardinals in Mexico. They look to be rolling with all their weapons on offense. The Saints beat the Rams last week, with Andy Dalton playing well. I think they will hang around in this game as the 49ers are on a short week. It’s closer than expected. 

Pick: 49ers 24, Saints 20

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, FuboTV)

Featured Game | Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers

The Packers’ playoff chances are barely alive, but this is a real challenge to try and keep them alive. Aaron Rodgers did not play well last week, but I think he plays better here. The Eagles haven’t looked great the past two games. The Packers keep it close. 

Pick: Eagles 26, Packers 21

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN, FuboTV)

Featured Game | Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

The Colts looked to be on their way to going 2-0 last week under Jeff Saturday, but blew a lead against the Eagles late. The Steelers hung around against the Bengals, with Kenny Pickett showing better at quarterback. The Steelers defense is much better with T.J. Watt back, and I think that front will keep the Steelers in this game. 

Pick: Colts 20, Steelers 19